Demographic Collapse in Italy? Or, Steady State?
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A Steady State Economy for Italy
Italy has been called "The Poor Man of Europe" simply because growth is slowing. The name-calling is based on the assumption that economies are supposed to grow forever. In a finite planet, the assumption is unreasonable. From the IT_L20 Model , Italy is forecast to be approaching a Steady State Economy after 2045 (see the graphic above). Why is this happening and is it a Success or a Failure? Notes Run the ITL20 Model in R-code ( here ). For more of my post son Italy, see the Blog Roll here . Wikipedia Links The Economy of Italy a highly developed social market economy . It is the third-largest national economy in the European Union , the 8th-largest economy in the world by nominal GDP , and the 12th-largest by PPP-adjusted GDP The Economy of Fascist Italy the economy in the Kingdom of Italy during the Fascist period . The Politics of Italy conducted through a parliamentary republic with ...
World-System Collapse Theory
Notes Wikipedia Links The Club of Rome a nonprofit, informal organization of intellectuals and business leaders whose goal is a critical discussion of pressing global issues . The Limits to Growth a 1972 report that discussed the possibility of exponential economic and population growth with a finite supply of resources, studied by computer simulation . The Limits to Growth Digital Scan of the book. World Dynamics Digital Scan of the book.
Afghanistan: Graveyard of Empires
Notes Wikipedia Links American Decline Graveyard of Empires The Revenge of Geography New Strategy in Afghanistan War in Afghanistan (2001-2021) Soviet-Afghan War (1979-1989) Anglo-Afghan Wars Civil Wars Afghan Civil War (1989-1992) Afghan Civil War (1992-1996) Afghan Civil War (1996-2001) Economy of Afghanistan History of Afghanistan Politics of Afghanistan Government of Afghanistan Geography of Afghanistan Taliban Mujahideen Asymmetric Warfare Counterinsurgency Nation Building Afghanistan AF_L20 Model The model is an unstable Moving Average model that can be stabilized (instructions in the code). YouTube Videos Graveyard of Empires: DOCUMENTARY Geographic Map
US Hegemonic Collapse: Danger to the World System?
Carlos Lozada, a columnist for the New York Times, recently wrote an opinion piece America Has Become a Dangerous Nation . The danger is that, when the World-System Hegemonic Leader starts collapsing, the System is in danger. The video above puts the 2026 US-Iran War in the context of Hegemonic Decline. This video reviews Lozada's piece in the NY Times which puts the Trump II Administration in the context of the literature on American Decline . Notes Readings Kennedy, P. (1988) The Rise and Fall of Great Powers Gilpin, R (1981) War & Change in World Politics Wikipedia Links American Decline Asymmetric Warfare Counterinsurgency Nation Building USL203 Model MAGA News Articles N. Y. Times, March 2, 2026 How Trump Went to War USL20 Model1 W-Input USL20 Model1 BAU
