US Hegemonic Collapse: Is the World Order Over?




 

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A Steady State Economy for Israel

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  J. Mirisch has recently written an article titled   Israel: A Blind Spot for Steady Staters  that points out the contradictions in the the Right- and Left-Wing positions on Israel. The Right-Wing should support "conservative" approaches to Planetary Boundaries , but they do not. The Left-Wing recognizes  Planetary Boundaries   but supports unstable, endless growth. The Contradiction here results from the need for unending exponential growth to support the Endless War in Middle East. Moreover, Google AI Notes that k ey aspects of this ongoing cycle include: The Nature of the Conflict:  Since 1990, U.S. involvement has shifted from short-term operations to prolonged engagements, often resembling wars of attrition rather than quick interventions, notes  Brookings . Recent Escalations:  As of March 2026, potential conflicts with Iran, including strikes on infrastructure, risks trapping the U.S. in a long-term "forever war" similar to Russ...
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Steady State or Growth-and-Collapse in the Middle East North Africa?

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  The WL20R MEA BAU model ** is unstable (see the Eigenvalues in the Notes Below). This should not be surprising given the History of the Middle East . If we turn the Unemployment Controller ( MEA2 , see the Notes Below) into a Random Walk ( RW , F[2,2] = 1.0), we create the Growth-and-Collapse Mode above. As a practical matter, Growth-and-Collapse could happen as a result of depleting Energy supplies and it would leave the MEA countries searching for new ways to support their economies. Creating a Steady State Economy in the Middle East would require (in the  WL20R MEA BAU model ) reducing both Overall Growth rate ( MEA1 ) and the unstable Unemployment-Energy Controller ( MEA2 ). In terms of the  WL20R MEA BAU  model, stability would involve setting F[2,2] = F[3,3] = 0.98 in the System Matrix (see the Notes below). Stability produces the graphic above. You can run the  WL20R MEA BAU model   with stability changes suggested in the code ( here )....
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World-System Collapse Theory

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The video above describes the Growth-and-Collapse prediction from the  The Limits to Growth  model (based on ten  data point calibrations**): The WL203 Model  baed on data from 50 time points and 14 indicator variables (see below) makes similar projections. W1=(Growth-LP) is the Growth -Living Planet Controller. W2 =(LP=P.Wheat+OIL-TEMP) is the Global Temperature Controller. W3 =(P.Oil.+P.Wheat.-OIL-EF) is the Ecological Footprint Controller. Notes ** The ten data points are 5 initial conditions and 5 "normal" parameters e.g., q(t*) = Q(t*) / N(t*). The rest of the functional forms (calculated from graphs) are guesstimated. You can experiment with the WL203 Model here . You can experiment with the World1 Limits to Growth Model here  (this is a State Space Dynamic Components version of the model). For more information about data sources and how the State Space models were constructed, see the Boiler Plate . WL203 Measurement Model WL203 System Matrix Wikipedi...
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