World-System Steady State Or Collapse

  In an earlier post, Steady State Economy for Switzerland ,  You can run both positive and negqtive shocks to the  CH_LM  (Late Modern) model   on my Google Site. Notes The best forecast (using the  Akaike Information Criterion ) is the  CH_LM  (Late Modern) model driven by Western Europe (the dashed red line in the graphic above, state-space model presented below). Notes Wikipedia Links Economy of Switzerland   a  highly developed   free-market economy . The Swiss economy has ranked first in the world since 2015 on the  Global Innovation Index  and third in the 2020  Global Competitiveness Report .  According to  United Nations  data for 2016, it is the third richest  landlocked country  in the world after  Liechtenstein  and  Luxembourg . Politics of Switzerland   a  federal state  with  representative democracy . History of Switzerland   t he  ...

  June 14, 2026 Switzerland Rejects Measure to Cap Its Population at 10 Million  NY Times.  The referendum was about limiting migration after the number of residents rose by more than a quarter since 2000, but it was framed around affordability and sustainability. Notes The best forecast (using the  Akaike Information Criterion ) is the  CH_LM  (Late Modern) model driven by Western Europe (the dashed red line in the graphic above, state-space model presented below). Notes Wikipedia Links Economy of Switzerland   a  highly developed   free-market economy . The Swiss economy has ranked first in the world since 2015 on the  Global Innovation Index  and third in the 2020  Global Competitiveness Report .  According to  United Nations  data for 2016, it is the third richest  landlocked country  in the world after  Liechtenstein  and  Luxembourg . Politics of Switzerland   a  federal s...

  Jun 1, 2026  Germany Has Lost What It Did Best  Pro-growth handwringing. The IMF ( here ) among other commentators ( here ) think that the German economy is in trouble. The conclusions are based on the assumption of  Unlimited Economic Growth . What if the techno-optimist assumption is wrong? What if growth cannot continue forever and our macro-TechnoSocial systems must become  Steady State Economies ? Is there any evidence that any economies are already reaching Steady State and what are the implications, good or bad, if they are? HINT: from the graph above, the Deutsch Empire ( DE ) has been in a steady state since 2010. I'll explain all this in a future post. If you want to experiment yourself with the DEL20 systems model, you run it on line and experiment with coefficients  here . Notice that the two  error correcting controllers  in the Measurement Matrix are ( EF-GDP ), the  Ecological Footprint  compared to aggregate production ...

 

 

Italy has been called "The Poor Man of Europe" simply because growth is slowing. The name-calling is based on the assumption that economies are supposed to grow forever. In a finite planet, the assumption is unreasonable. From the IT_L20 Model , Italy is forecast to be approaching a Steady State Economy after 2045 (see the graphic above). Why is this happening and is it a Success or a Failure? Notes Run the ITL20 Model in  R-code  ( here ). For more of my post son Italy, see the Blog Roll here . Wikipedia Links The Economy of Italy  a  highly developed   social market economy .  It is the third-largest national economy in the  European Union , the  8th-largest economy in the world by nominal GDP , and the  12th-largest by PPP-adjusted GDP The Economy of Fascist Italy  the economy in the  Kingdom of Italy  during the  Fascist period . The Politics of Italy  conducted through a  parliamentary republic  with ...