Stabilizing the Export Controller: Switzerland (1950-2000+)

 







You can run both positive and negqtive shocks to the CH_LM (Late Modern) model on my Google Site.

Notes

The best forecast (using the Akaike Information Criterion) is the CH_LM (Late Modern) model driven by Western Europe (the dashed red line in the graphic above, state-space model presented below).


Notes

Wikipedia Links

CH_LM Model Measurement Matrix



CH_LM BAU Model Unstable




Negative Shocks











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