World-System Steady State Or Collapse

This page is UNDER CONSTRUCTION but you can watch the video above until it is complete. I have a few interests in  Societal collapse   and   Complexity : (1) How does it relate to the possibility of a Steady-State Economy ? (2) How does it relate to System Instability ? (3) How does it relate to World-Systems Theory ? (4) How does it relate to Hegemonic Stability Theory  and Geopolitics in general? (5) How does it appear in the structure of Systems Models ? (6) etc., etc. The video above is a great introduction to my interests. In the video above,  Joseph Tainter  argues that complex societies collapse when the  Complexity  created by growth is no liner worth the cost. It is essentially an economic, cost-benefit argument  and the argument has been very influential. The problem in ancient societies is to measure Costs, Benefits and Complexity. The  Limits to Growth  argument (a Neo-Malthusian argument ) is not essential...

This page is UNDER CONSTRUCTION . Oct 22, 2026  Cost of living protests hit Belgium, Italy, Portugal and France   Hundreds of thousands of Europeans have taken to the streets in separate, uncoordinated demonstrations to protest against the rising cost of living in their countries. Notes Economy of Belgium  a  highly developed  high-income  mixed  economy.  The Belgian economy has capitalized on the  country's central geographic location , and has a well-developed  transport network , and diversified industrial and commercial base. Belgium was the first  European  country to join the  Industrial Revolution  in the early 19th century. It has since developed a highly-developed transportation infrastructure made up of ports (most notably the  Port of Antwerp ), canals, railways, and highways, in order to integrate its industry with that of its neighbors.   Among  OECD  nations, Belgium has a highly eff...

  This page is UNDER CONSTRUCTION but you can watch the video above and wait...

  Notes Wikipedia Links CAL20 Measurement Model CAL20  AIC Statistics CAL20 BAU Model CAL20 BAU Model Growth Shocks

  Typically, when commentators talk about Policy Actions such as the UK Climate Change Act of 2008 , the assumption seems to be that governments will never do enough and that the more aggressive the policy targets the better . Seldom are the effects on the political-economic system taken into consideration and seldom is consideration given to stabilizing the political-economic system before policy measures are enacted. In the graphic above, I have plotted two forecasts for UK1  (the dominant state variable in the UKL20 BAU Model ). The top graphic shows system collapse in the Business-As-Usual ( BAU )  model  which, as estimated from the World Development Indicators , is unstable. The lower graphic shows the stabilized version of the BAU model reaching a steady-state after 2046 (the model is stabilized by reducing growth rates). My next question is whether the  Climate Change Act of 2008  destabilized the system. In the Notes below, I present the U...